Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.597392 0.668134 0.744825 0.834290 0.935976 1.048172 1.181628
2025-02-16 0.487360 0.584151 0.697512 0.840726 1.017726 1.230463 1.507240
2025-02-23 0.430030 0.539579 0.674657 0.854750 1.090492 1.391219 1.808115
2025-03-02 0.375549 0.488419 0.633347 0.835035 1.111529 1.481753 2.022547
2025-03-09 0.346168 0.464662 0.622366 0.850404 1.176316 1.632381 2.331412
2025-03-16 0.314570 0.433798 0.597438 0.842020 1.204495 1.731760 2.575185
2025-03-23 0.293045 0.414290 0.585498 0.849403 1.254054 1.864620 2.881909
2025-03-30 0.269311 0.389155 0.562682 0.837582 1.272108 1.949720 3.121251
2025-04-06 0.250412 0.369301 0.545534 0.832003 1.298045 2.047984 3.391448
2025-04-13 0.226629 0.340082 0.511660 0.796797 1.272339 2.058717 3.511904
2025-04-20 0.215768 0.329822 0.506034 0.805894 1.319564 2.194463 3.866996
2025-04-27 0.206095 0.320598 0.501132 0.815372 1.367687 2.335626 4.248047
2025-05-04 0.195887 0.310003 0.493562 0.820302 1.409461 2.471869 4.641884
2025-05-11 0.186151 0.299493 0.485342 0.823391 1.448255 2.606894 5.052074
2025-05-18 0.179263 0.293165 0.483534 0.837365 1.507898 2.786693 5.576628
2025-05-25 0.167335 0.277405 0.464322 0.818076 1.502662 2.839689 5.840353
2025-06-01 0.161957 0.272580 0.463800 0.833096 1.564794 3.032767 6.435013
2025-06-08 0.153446 0.261650 0.451584 0.824903 1.579941 3.130889 6.829021
2025-06-15 0.147852 0.255544 0.447616 0.832118 1.626683 3.299797 7.410943
2025-06-22 0.140068 0.244961 0.434661 0.820566 1.633271 3.382519 7.797225
2025-06-29 0.133668 0.236530 0.425161 0.815114 1.652135 3.494064 8.270715
2025-07-06 0.124051 0.221543 0.402288 0.780705 1.605286 3.452023 8.346096
2025-07-13 0.120404 0.217622 0.400441 0.789597 1.654493 3.636905 9.043576